Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.974355 4.265049 4.575725 4.934025 5.337824 5.781156 6.307931
2025-06-01 3.446169 3.841239 4.289844 4.842959 5.515177 6.317327 7.365456
2025-06-08 3.166042 3.620706 4.159002 4.855277 5.750718 6.891715 8.505851
2025-06-15 2.987083 3.485947 4.096671 4.918493 6.027707 7.526095 9.809598
2025-06-22 2.751148 3.253998 3.883555 4.753989 5.969448 7.682609 10.445277
2025-06-29 2.576641 3.083230 3.730007 4.646036 5.965240 7.899687 11.194375
2025-07-06 2.437509 2.946627 3.607967 4.565062 5.982827 8.140332 12.014986
2025-07-13 2.336187 2.852009 3.533387 4.540650 6.075481 8.501720 13.111668
2025-07-20 2.281317 2.814908 3.532815 4.619423 6.328997 9.153725 14.899856
2025-07-27 2.236934 2.788411 3.543592 4.713268 6.613172 9.898092 17.088072
2025-08-03 2.169558 2.725824 3.498103 4.716219 6.746182 10.389865 18.884780
2025-08-10 2.083303 2.632315 3.402120 4.632549 6.722284 10.580822 20.032410
2025-08-17 1.987986 2.524562 3.283622 4.511458 6.633120 10.654597 20.981701
2025-08-24 1.911570 2.441074 3.197532 4.437627 6.622792 10.891600 22.488217
2025-08-31 1.863251 2.395669 3.165556 4.448827 6.766540 11.473968 25.266588
2025-09-07 1.829505 2.369610 3.160897 4.504034 6.997281 12.291085 29.278382
2025-09-14 1.750463 2.273571 3.043795 4.360359 6.830517 12.168602 29.954932
2025-09-21 1.687978 2.199909 2.958307 4.265879 6.751900 12.244655 31.458027
2025-09-28 1.634915 2.138355 2.888968 4.194908 6.712997 12.410951 33.449519
2025-10-05 1.596152 2.096866 2.849366 4.173493 6.772326 12.835662 36.898692
2025-10-12 1.579292 2.087710 2.860477 4.242563 7.026116 13.823631 44.063887
2025-10-19 1.565855 2.083091 2.878369 4.324739 7.317601 14.994916 54.016626
2025-10-26 1.536970 2.053563 2.854183 4.327321 7.434275 15.693485 62.277940